Hypothesis : I ask people whosei I sped to explore the hypothesis that extinction would be the biggest errors we (today veging on) 8 billion human brains have ever made. What kind of error would it be? By defintion this would be intergenerational "systems mapping" error - primarily between grandparents, parents and youth. While interested in listening to your assessment of the soyces of error- I believe it helps to see that it would be atraingularistion error:biggest maths mistkeinvestment mistakeeducat...
It is my other hypothesis that not enough people yet know of the intellect challenge that the goats of matks wanted their legacy to be : what goods can humans unite with 100 times more tech per decade.100 times per decade is teh scale of innovation von neumann in 1951 asked my father to coach economisc jouranlists in. Lets consider .the expoenetailly equivalent question- how do our decisoon system scope with 25 times more chnage every 7 yeras. I note that after the first 7 yeras of berners lee web, bill gates published a book the way ahead. Acore hypothesis of that book : always less change than people expecet hapens in 3 yeras aalways more in 7 years. Matmetaically that confirms an significantexpoenetial chnage rate is at play. What would that mean to a dmeocracy that hosts elections every 4 yeras. It woudl mean that the wors possible development system would be yo appoint a leader for 3 yeras yo make all the bigest decisions for you; then because not enough had happened stage a yera of hatred debates before chossing another elader to again be ominpotent for another 3 yeras. This is perhaps the mother of all inconveneinet truths.
Before I go futher I would like to ask those who have lost parents - drd any remembrance parties help you learn something about your mom or dad that you had not wholly understood. Maybe its a reflection of ny own flaws bu there were 4 huge learnings for me when my father died in 2010. One of tehm started 2 weeks after dad's death - Glasgo University Adam Smith scholars had become his last prohects main partner. How did the billion poorest asian women contribute to the greatest human development miracle of all time since 1970. For those who see either one of Adam Smit's 2 books as wgere the study of economics first came together, what I do=idnt know before june 2010 was that adam smith was already doing postgraduate studies at oXoford at the age of 16, and had matriculated Glasgow University age of 13. As well as the debates on economics andthe validity of market pursposes Adam rase, he asks questions about the whole classroom education system - particularly from 11 up. When you k=look at his first hand exeprinec not only for hi=imself but as someone paid to tutor a few lucky young men, it is clear that he sees the whole emire education system from 11 up as one designed to dfail kids ; one incapable of failig itself. At oxford he states professors were eesigning siloised systems for the conveneience of the it own lives as hierachy rulers and ones currying favor with london's bureucrats. Oxford of teh 1750s was nothing to do with designing what futures do youth need.
A secind remembrance party occurred a few months later at The Economsit Boardrom. There I was tod taht father was a one of a kind geneius : the likes of which jouranalismonly saw oce in a generation. It was imploed this was why The Economistof since 1990 hadnt been prepared (more than other media) for banking crsies like sunprime, peace crises like 9/11, etc. I really beg to deather. I urge people to be aware of csik flow research. His conclusion thsoe we label aas geneuises asre simply thse who maximised how much of their own lifeteime they spent at the exereiential edge of a servive uniqueness they developed to and with other people. In my dads case nobody between 1945 to 1990 saw more info crss his desk verifiable with interviews of many of thsoe who made world imoacting decisions. I am not that happy with those (eg dads friend Srah Butle-Hogg) who call dad one of the influencers of how globalisation was designed. Motovated by von neumna question - father wa was concerend with teh worldwide integration of every community into our race's futures for betetr If you accept this view of what drove mt=y afther's curiosity its times to discsuss whe two of teh 5 driecsr of precebting extinction are : how we speand learning and etcahing time of under 30s and of over 30s. Lets make a lits og what all this means f=if over 30s action learning is to help under 30s be the first sustainability gen not teh first exticntion gen
It goes back to neumanns or bill gates question --in fact I think that if we start it may be useful to review 7 yera periosn ad as early as 1963. By now father had spent a decade applying neianns question - he had found at least 5 cooridorts whose future histiry was now taking on chalenge of 00 tiems nore, Bu alsoe the death of kennedy chnaged so many things at a time when instatatenous televion briadcasting was influencing belifs in far more draatic ways than ever before